tikiera: (Default)
tikiera ([personal profile] tikiera) wrote2008-02-14 03:29 pm
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Politics

Obama is looking better.

But I was listening to NPR  - and someone pointed out that Obama is carrying the primary votes in states that will not be giving their electoral votes to a democrat.

Now I need to track down a breakdown and see if that's right.  Gah. 

[identity profile] jamesofengland.livejournal.com 2008-02-16 08:32 am (UTC)(link)
Clinton does have some swing states: MI & FL by default, NV & AR by talent. Obama has some, too, though. VA is pretty big, and CO gave him a clear lead. ME, WI, MN... there's a good number of electoral votes before you even start in on the Clinton '92/'96 Southern states won by Obama this time round (WV, KY, TN).

I think that the where-the-support-is factor does balance in favour of Clinton, but it's a far from open and shut case. VA, in particular, seems like a state that could swing the election.