Politics

[tikiera]

Obama is looking better.

But I was listening to NPR  - and someone pointed out that Obama is carrying the primary votes in states that will not be giving their electoral votes to a democrat.

Now I need to track down a breakdown and see if that's right.  Gah. 

Comments

[mythicwarrior.livejournal.com]

I would love one logical reason to vote for the razzle-dazzle man. If the unwashed masses continue to push him as the democratic candidate, I'll vote Republican for the first time.

And yes, Obama is pulling the red states.

[jamesofengland.livejournal.com]

Different measure, same result, but I thought you'd be interested to see this.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Clinton/Maps/Apr04.html
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Obama/Maps/Apr04.html

In other words, to get to 270 from where they are now, Obama needs to lose nothing and swing Colorado, Michigan, or Wisconsin, lose nothing and swing New Hampshire and South Carolina, or win Texas (if he wins TX, he can afford to lose some other stuff).

Clinton could do it by swinging any of those states (although New Hampshire wouldn't be enough, South Carolina, should it choose to go Democrat, wouldn't need New Hampshire to join it), she could also do it, by swinging Arkansas, Tennessee, and other states that she'd make competitive, or she could do it by swingingin Oregon or Washington, which doesn't seem like it'd be too hard. In other words, Florida really, truly, matters.